By Nopporn Wong-Anan and Ambika Ahuja
BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thai anti-government protesters agreed on Tuesday to talks brokered by a Senate leader to end Thailand's deadliest political crisis in 18 years, but analysts doubted the negotiations would halt the spiralling violence.
Troops have surrounded thousands of anti-government demonstrators in the fortified camp they have occupied for six weeks in central Bangkok, as soldiers armed with assault rifles skirmish with protesters on several major roads in the capital.
"We have agreed to take a new round of talks proposed by the Senate because if we allow things to go on like this, we don't know how many more lives will be lost," Nattawut Saikua, one of the "red shirt" leaders, told a news conference.
A group of 64 senators in the 150-member Seante proposed the talks and offered to mediate with the protesters, urging a cease-fire on both sides.
But analysts say that while the proposal is positive, it is unlikely to lead to a peace deal.
The government has not responded and a group of 40 other senators with more pro-government leanings called on the red shirts to surrender and enter the court process.
"It's just the beginning and it's the kind of an offer that doesn't carry much weight since the senators are not speaking in one voice," said Somjai Phagaphasvivat, a political scientist at Bangkok's Thammasat University.
But Boonyakiat Karavekphan, political analyst at Ramkhamhaeng University, said the proposal was a promising start.
"Both sides have come to a deadend and the only way to get out of this deadlock is to return to the negotiations," he said.
The government's response to the offer was not immediately known, but Nattawut, speaking inside the protesters' fortified camp, said it was in the interests of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva to seek a negotiated end to the unrest.
WOMEN AND CHILDREN
An estimated 5,000 of the red-shirted protesters remain in a camp covering 3 sq km (1.2 sq miles) of an upmarket shopping district, set up as part of a movement that began in mid-March with the aim of toppling the government and forcing elections.
The authorities had warned them to leave by 3 p.m. (9 a.m. British time) on Monday, but the deadline passed without action being taken. Public holidays have been declared until Friday.
Hundreds of women and children took refuge in a temple inside the protest area, but some protesters fought with soldiers in areas around the camp.
Red shirt leaders have previously proposed a cease-fire and talks moderated by the United Nations, which the government dismissed. On Monday, they said they would accept talks as long as a neutral arbiter took part and troops withdrew.
Army spokesman Sansern Kaewkamnerd said some "terrorists" were trying to foment trouble through random killings, targeting innocent people at rallies, rescue workers and journalists.
He said one such incident occurred on Monday north of the main protest site in an apartment block under construction.
"A group of snipers dressed as soldiers were hiding on floors 24 to 27 aiming randomly at people, and that is being blamed on soldiers," he told a televised briefing.
Thai media reported a fire was raging in a row of deserted shops in the same area on Tuesday and firefighters were struggling to get into the area because of barricades.
Erawan Emergency Medical Centre said on Tuesday that 38 people had died in the flare-up of violence since May 13 and 67 have been killed people since trouble started in April.
The protesters, mostly drawn from the rural and urban poor, and supporters of ousted ex-premier Thaksin Shinawatra, had initially demanded immediate elections.
Earlier this month, Abhisit unilaterally offered an election in November -- just over a year before one was due -- but withdrew the offer because the "red shirts" refused to end their rally and kept adding more demands.
"Following the prime minister's decision to scrap the poll plan, it has become clear that hope for any political solution and reconciliation of the situation even in the short term is extremely slim," political analyst Maria Patrikainen of IHS Global Insight Analysis wrote in a note on the crisis.
"With no immediate solution in sight, the fighting also threatens to further divide Thailand's already fractured society, pushing the country towards civil war," she added.
Among the smaller incidents reported from late on Monday, Channel 3 television reported that hundreds of red shirts had attempted to hold a protest at Ramkhamhaeng University in southern Bangkok on Monday evening.
When students resisted and riot police intervened, the red shirts agreed to hold their rally outside the university. Later a gunman driving past on a motorbike fired into the crowd and the demonstrators dispersed. Some minor injuries were reported.
(Additional reporting by Arada Kultawanich and Ambika Ahuja; Writing by Alan Raybould; Editing by Bill Tarrant)
