By Peter Starck
COPENHAGEN (Reuters) - Dubai's debt problems need to worsen before Sydinvest fund manager Anders Ronnebaek would consider shifting to "underweight" on the United Arab Emirates in his Africa & Middle East equities mutual fund.
Ronnebaek cut his UAE exposure to "neutral" in November by reducing financial sector holdings after Dubai shocked investors by requesting a standstill on $26 billion of debts linked to state-owned holding company Dubai World
Unfazed by the recent surge in Dubai debt default insurance costs, the Denmark-based fund manager has kept the fund's UAE exposure at 10 percent of its $41 million assets under management.
Within the UAE allocation, Ronnebaek's focus is more on stable, oil-rich Abu Dhabi than on Dubai, whose banking, property and tourism industries until late last year sucked up foreign capital, positioning the fast-growing, glitzy city as the Gulf region's foremost financial hub.
Another reason for staying put was the low rate of flows in the fund, signaling investors were satisfied with its year-to-date return of 9 percent, he said.
The MSCI Emerging Markets index <.MSCIEF> is down 6.5 percent.
"If they can't find a solution for Dubai World, if all the debt issues worsen, I could go underweight (UAE)," Ronnebaek told Reuters in a brief telephone interview.
"I'm waiting for a plan for Dubai World."
British Business Secretary Peter Mandelson said on Sunday the emirate's handling of the Dubai World crisis would affect future investments.
PROPERTY EARNINGS
The Sydinvest Africa & Middle East fund's biggest UAE holding is Emaar Properties
Ronnebaek said Emaar's fourth-quarter results were "okay" but the report from another holding, Aldar Properties
Other UAE holdings include National Bank of Abu Dhabi
Ronnebaek said recent volumes on UAE stock exchanges had been below pre-crisis levels and that it might be difficult to pick up bargains if the news flow were to turn positive.
Dubai's benchmark index <.DFMGI> has fallen 25 percent in the past three months. The Abu Dhabi equities benchmark <.ADI> is down 9 percent.
"If there's some good news everyone will be limit-up and nobody will sell," Ronnebaek said.
(editing by John Stonestreet)
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