Independent Firms Will Boost Market Share as Fund Industry Tackles Fundamental Change, Says Jefferies Putnam Lovell Report on the Future of Asset Management



    Independent and quoted money management firms, both traditional
    and alternative, will capture 33% of all assets under management by
    2012, up from 24% today, and will be beneficiaries of an historic
    shift from the retirement mainstay upon which the global fund industry
    was built, according to Putnam Lovell, the division of Jefferies &
    Company, Inc. focused on the asset management and financial technology
    industries.

    Commercial banks, insurance companies and investment banks
    controlled the global money management business in its infancy.
    Increasingly, they will find it more lucrative to assemble
    unaffiliated products and play the role of professional buyers rather
    than fight a losing battle for market share with independent managers.
    Captive fund management operations of banks and insurers will agitate
    for more autonomy and spinoffs will become more common, particularly
    in Europe and Japan, according to the Jefferies Putnam Lovell report,
    After the Belle Epoque, the Future of Fund Management.

    Traditional active management, long-only stock and bond portfolios
    charging asset-based fees, will contribute less than half of total
    industry revenue by 2012, down from about 69% in 2006. More than 50%
    of revenue will come from performance fees, alternative investments
    rapidly becoming mainstream, and proliferating long-short extension
    strategies.

    "The days of relying on tax advantages and government subsidies to
    spur retirement savings and growth in the fund industry are over,"
    said Ben Phillips, managing director and head of strategic analysis at
    Jefferies Putnam Lovell, and author of the new report. "Individual
    investors, Asia, and sovereign wealth funds will be major sources of
    new business in the next five years. Yield rather than asset
    accumulation will increasingly be the focus of investors, boosting
    demand for a new generation of products."

    More than ever in fund management, performance, not capital or
    brand, will separate the winners and losers. But investor inertia is
    fading and the price for adjusting slowly to this new environment will
    rise dramatically, according to the Jefferies Putnam Lovell report.

    Forecasts in the Jefferies Putnam Lovell report include:

    -- ETFs and other less-expensive products will increasingly
    endanger active managers offering closet index performance at
    higher fees.

    -- Hedge funds, now in more challenging markets, will be more
    easily distinguishable. Institutional-grade firms generating
    strong performance in all market conditions will gain further
    market share at the expense of lesser competitors. Roughly 20%
    of the current total, approximately 2,000 funds, will
    disappear in the next five years.

    -- Firms primarily reliant on long-only mutual funds will be
    under the most severe pressure to reinvent themselves or face
    dwindling prospects.

    -- Sub-advisors will capture increasing share, in particular in
    the US mutual fund segment where they will control 20% of the
    market by 2012.

    -- Demand for performance fees and customized benchmarks are on
    the rise, from both institutional and individual investors
    willing only to pay for outperformance.

    "Fund firms that anticipate and adjust to these new challenges
    will enjoy a bright future, growing their businesses at the expense of
    those unable to let go of a rich epoch that´s rapidly fading,"
    Phillips said.

    About Jefferies Putnam Lovell

    Putnam Lovell, the division of Jefferies & Company, Inc. focused
    on the financial services industry, offers a wide range of corporate
    advisory services, including mergers and acquisitions advice and
    capital raising. Putnam Lovell´s global client base is comprised of
    diversified financial services firms, institutional and mutual fund
    managers, alternative investment managers, banks, broker-dealers,
    insurers, and financial technology firms. Putnam Lovell was founded in
    1987 and operates from offices in New York, San Francisco, Boston, and
    London. Since July 2007, Putnam Lovell has been a division of
    Jefferies & Company, Inc., the principal operating subsidiary of
    Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF). For more information please visit
    www.putnamlovell.com.

    About Jefferies

    Jefferies, a global investment bank and institutional securities
    firm, has served growing and mid-sized companies and their investors
    for 45 years. Headquartered in New York, with more than 25 offices
    around the world, Jefferies provides clients with capital markets and
    financial advisory services, institutional brokerage, securities
    research and asset management. The firm is a leading provider of trade
    execution in equity, high yield, convertible and international
    securities for institutional investors and high net worth individuals.
    Jefferies & Company, Inc. is the principal operating subsidiary of
    Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF; www.jefferies.com)