RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service Metrics Continue To Show Further Deterioration in Middle Market Credit Quality



    The Risk Management Association (RMA), in alliance with Automated
    Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS), this week released its commercial
    credit risk benchmarking data updated through third quarter 2007. The
    third quarter results reflect portfolio data for middle market
    exposure provided by 16 top tier participating institutions, estimated
    to represent over one-half of all middle market commercial loans in
    the U.S.

    Non-accrual loans in the middle market began to rise over one year
    ago and now represent 0.56% of total loans outstanding. This figure
    represents a 47% increase from year-end 2006. From an industry
    perspective, the construction sector was particularly weak, with 1.21%
    of loans being reported as non-accruing, up over 150% from year-end
    2006. Delinquencies in the 30-89 day bucket for this sector have risen
    to 1.45%, suggesting non-accrual levels will continue to rise in
    upcoming quarters. Other industry segments reporting non-accrual
    levels significantly above the national average were Agriculture
    (0.80%) and Retail Trade (0.78%).

    "The Risk Analysis Service data continues to confirm what we are
    hearing in the market. Borrower risk ratings are increasing, as are
    defaults. Delinquencies and non-accrual levels are rising,
    necessitating increased bad debt provisioning. Banks may face
    increased earnings pressures due to escalating credit issues, which
    are clearly migrating from retail forms of credit to commercial
    lending products and related lines of business," said Kevin Blakely,
    RMA president and CEO.

    These findings come from the RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service, a
    global credit risk data collection service that enables participating
    banks to compare their respective risk profiles in defined portfolio
    segments to industry peers and the industry as a whole. The Service
    allows participants to gain real-time insights into changing credit
    quality, portfolio concentrations, and answers the critical question
    of "How do we compare?" in these turbulent times.

    The Risk Analysis Service has available four years of risk data on
    the U.S. commercial lending market. With escalating credit issues, it
    is becoming critical for financial institutions to have access to
    current data on market performance. One important use of the Service
    data is in setting the Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses.

    Third quarter 2007 reporting includes the Service´s latest
    enhancement, expanded risk rating metrics. Institutions are now able
    to segment their portfolios by measures of default probability,
    projected loss severity or loss given default, and expected loss.
    These metrics are mandated by Basel II and are part of an effective
    risk management program.

    For additional information on the Risk Analysis Service, please
    contact Suzanne Wharton at RMA at +1 (215) 446-4089 or Doug Skinner at
    AFS at +1 (484) 875-1562.

    About RMA

    Founded in 1914, The Risk Management Association is a
    not-for-profit, member-driven professional association whose sole
    purpose is to advance the use of sound risk principles in the
    financial services industry. RMA promotes an enterprise-wide approach
    to risk management that focuses on credit risk, market risk, and
    operational risk. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pa., RMA has 3,000
    institutional members that include banks of all sizes as well as
    nonbank financial institutions. They are represented in the
    Association by 20,000 risk management professionals who are chapter
    members in financial centers throughout North America, Europe, and
    Asia/Pacific. Visit RMA on the Web at www.rmahq.org.

    About AFS

    Automated Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS) is an information
    technology and software development company providing products and
    professional services exclusively to the financial services industry.
    Its mission is to work with forward-looking financial institutions to
    build the industry-leading global franchise for lending processes
    based on a straight-through processing model and on-demand technology
    and services. AFS assists clients by combining the lending
    applications, execution expertise, and management information to
    mitigate risk, reduce costs, and increase revenue. The firm is
    headquartered in Exton, Pa.; its European subsidiary, Automated
    Financial Systems GmbH, is located in Vienna, Austria. For further
    information, visit the AFS Web site at www.afsvision.com.