RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service Metrics Show Continued Deterioration in Middle Market Credit Quality



    The Risk Management Association (RMA), in alliance with Automated
    Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS), this week released its commercial
    benchmarking data updated through second quarter 2007. The second
    quarter results reflect actual data for middle market loans provided
    by 16 top tier participating banks, estimated to represent over
    one-half of all middle market commercial loans in the U.S.

    Non-accrual loans in the middle market rose for the third
    consecutive quarter and now represent 0.53% of total reported loans.
    This represents an increase of 4.0% from first quarter 2007 levels and
    39.5% year-over-year. From an industry perspective, the Construction
    sector was particularly weak, with a full 1.03% of loans being
    reported as non-accruing, up fourfold from 0.24% one year ago. Other
    industry segments reporting non-accrual levels significantly above the
    national average were Transportation & Warehousing (0.88%),
    Manufacturing (0.85%), and certain sub-sectors of Retail Trade
    (0.71%).

    On a regional basis, nonaccrual rates were highest in the
    Service's Eastern Midwest(1) region, totaling 1.05% of total loans,
    followed by the Southern(2) region at 0.69%. At the individual state
    level, the highest middle market nonaccrual rates were reported in
    Michigan, Indiana, and Ohio in the Eastern Midwest, and Arkansas,
    Alabama, and Florida in the South. California reported one of the
    lowest nonaccrual levels, at only 0.28% of total middle market loans
    reported.

    "The data indicates that the historically low level of
    nonperforming loans that the industry has been experiencing is behind
    us. We appear to be at the onset of another business cycle. Who knows
    when we will hit the bottom, but it is pretty clear that the industry
    is heading toward more credit issues," said Kevin Blakely, RMA
    president and CEO.

    The findings come from the RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service, a credit
    risk benchmarking service that enables participating banks to compare
    their respective risk profiles in defined portfolio segments to
    industry peers and the industry as a whole. The Service allows
    participants to gain real-time insights into changing credit quality
    and portfolio concentrations.

    Third quarter 2007 reporting will include the Service's latest
    enhancement, expanded risk rating metrics. Institutions will be able
    to segment their portfolios by measures of default probability,
    projected loss severity, and expected loss, risk parameters mandated
    by the Basel II rules expected this fall from U.S. regulatory
    authorities.

    For additional information on the Risk Analysis Service, please
    contact Suzanne Wharton at RMA at +1 (215) 446-4089 or Doug Skinner at
    AFS at +1 (484) 875-1562.

    About RMA

    Founded in 1914, The Risk Management Association is a
    not-for-profit, member-driven professional association whose sole
    purpose is to advance the use of sound risk principles in the
    financial services industry. RMA promotes an enterprise-wide approach
    to risk management that focuses on credit risk, market risk, and
    operational risk. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pa., RMA has 3,000
    institutional members that include banks of all sizes as well as
    nonbank financial institutions. They are represented in the
    Association by 18,500 risk management professionals who are chapter
    members in financial centers throughout North America, Europe, and
    Asia/Pacific. Visit RMA on the Web at www.rmahq.org.

    About AFS

    Automated Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS) is an information
    technology and software development company providing products and
    professional services exclusively to the financial services industry.
    Its mission is to work with forward-looking financial institutions to
    build the industry-leading global franchise for lending processes
    based on a straight-through processing model and on-demand technology
    and services. AFS assists clients by combining the lending
    applications, execution expertise, and management information to
    mitigate risk, reduce costs, and increase revenue. The firm is
    headquartered in Exton, Pa.; its European subsidiary, Automated
    Financial Systems GmbH, is located in Vienna, Austria. For further
    information, visit the AFS Web site at www.afsvision.com.

    (1) Eastern Midwest region consists of Michigan, Indiana, Ohio,
    Illinois, Kentucky, and Wisconsin

    (2) Southern region consists of Arkansas, Alabama, Florida,
    Louisiana, Georgia, Tennessee, Mississippi, and South Carolina