RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service Confirms Rising Delinquency and Non-accrual Levels



    The Risk Management Association (RMA), in alliance with Automated
    Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS), this week released its commercial
    benchmarking data updated through first quarter 2007. Results show
    risk ratings in the broader middle market remaining relatively
    unchanged, with signs of credit weakness continuing in the
    construction sector and emerging in other sectors.

    Non-accruals in the middle market have increased more than 17% in
    the period spanning the last quarter of 2006 and the first quarter of
    2007. Non-accrual levels in the construction industry have increased
    more than 100% over the same six-month period. Also within the
    construction industry, loans past due 30 to 89 days have increased
    5.8% from third-quarter levels.

    "Given that growth in construction lending has comprised a
    substantial share of total loan growth at many organizations for the
    past several years, these trends continue to warrant close attention,"
    said Maurice H. Hartigan II, President and CEO, The Risk Management
    Association.

    In addition, the real estate and rental & leasing sector shows
    emerging credit quality deterioration. Non-accruals have risen more
    than 38% over the six-month period, with loans past due 30 to 89 days
    rising nearly 22%.

    The first quarter updates to the Risk Analysis Service reflect
    data for middle market loans totaling approximately $600 billion in
    commitments and $321 billion in outstandings provided by 16 top tier
    banks. The database is estimated to include nearly half of all middle
    market commercial loans in the U.S.

    These findings came from the RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service, which
    enables participating financial institutions to benchmark the risk
    profiles of their middle market portfolios relative to those of their
    peers and the industry. The service also allows participants to gain
    real-time insights into changing credit quality and portfolio
    concentrations.

    Recent enhancements to the Risk Analysis Service announced by RMA
    and AFS include 1) an expanded risk rating scale capturing both
    probability of default and loss given default metrics, 2) expanding
    the depth and granularity of geographic coverage to allow state-level
    reporting 3) a dedicated reporting module focused exclusively on
    commercial real estate loans, and 4) rolling out the Service in
    Europe.

    For additional information on the Risk Analysis Service, please
    contact Suzanne Wharton at RMA at +1 (215) 446-4089 or Doug Skinner at
    AFS at +1 (484) 875-1562.

    About RMA

    Founded in 1914, The Risk Management Association is a
    not-for-profit, member-driven professional association whose sole
    purpose is to advance the use of sound risk principles in the
    financial services industry. RMA promotes an enterprise-wide approach
    to risk management that focuses on credit risk, market risk, and
    operational risk. Headquartered in Philadelphia, PA, RMA has 3,000
    institutional members that include banks of all sizes as well as
    nonbank financial institutions. They are represented in the
    Association by 18,000 risk management professionals who are chapter
    members in financial centers throughout North America, Europe, and
    Asia/Pacific. Visit RMA on the Web at www.rmahq.org.

    About AFS

    Automated Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS) is an information
    technology and software development company providing products and
    professional services exclusively to the financial services industry.
    Its mission is to work with forward-looking financial institutions to
    build the industry-leading global franchise for lending processes
    based on a straight-through processing model and on-demand technology
    and services. AFS assists clients by combining the lending
    applications, execution expertise, and management information to
    mitigate risk, reduce costs, and increase revenue. The firm is
    headquartered in Exton, PA; its European subsidiary, Automated
    Financial Systems GmbH, is located in Vienna, Austria. For further
    information, visit the AFS Web site at www.afsvision.com.