Softening in Commercial Real Estate Sector Indicated by RMA/AFS Risk Analysis Service



    Quarterly benchmarking metrics released this week by The Risk
    Management Association (RMA) and Automated Financial Systems, Inc.
    (AFS), showed some decline in credit quality in the construction
    industry. The fourth quarter results from the Risk Analysis Service
    reflect actual data for middle market loans totaling approximately
    $600 billion in commitments and $325 billion in outstandings provided
    by 17 top tier participating banks. The database is estimated to
    include nearly one-half of all middle market commercial loans in the
    U.S.

    While macro-level indicators of overall middle market credit
    quality were relatively flat quarter-over-quarter, signs of credit
    distress began to emerge in certain sectors. Nonaccrual loans in the
    construction industry jumped 51.6%, the largest jump since the
    origination of the Service in September 2003, and loans past due 30 to
    89 days increased sharply, rising 15.7% from third quarter levels.
    Given that growth in construction lending has comprised a substantial
    share of total loan growth at many organizations for the past several
    years, these are trends warranting close attention.

    The Risk Analysis Service offers the ability to benchmark credit
    quality in all industry sectors against peer banks and against the
    industry. Due to the specialized nature of commercial real estate
    assets, the Service now offers a dedicated reporting module focused
    exclusively on the needs of the commercial real estate market.

    For additional information on the Risk Analysis Service, please
    contact Suzanne Wharton at RMA at +1-215-446-4089 or Doug Skinner at
    AFS at +1-484-875-1562.

    About RMA

    Founded in 1914, The Risk Management Association(RMA) is a
    not-for-profit, member-driven professional association whose sole
    purpose is to advance the use of sound risk principles in the
    financial services industry. RMA promotes an enterprise-wide approach
    to risk management that focuses on credit risk, market risk, and
    operational risk. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, RMA has
    3,000 institutional members that include banks of all sizes as well as
    nonbank financial institutions. They are represented in the
    Association by 17,000 risk management professionals who are chapter
    members in financial centers throughout North America, Europe, and
    Asia/Pacific. Visit RMA on the Web at www.rmahq.org.

    About AFS

    Automated Financial Systems, Inc. (AFS) is an information
    technology and software development company providing products and
    professional services exclusively to the financial services industry.
    Its mission is to work with forward-looking financial institutions to
    build the industry-leading global franchise for lending processes
    based on a straight-through processing model and on-demand technology
    and services. AFS assists clients by combining the lending
    applications, execution expertise, and management information to
    mitigate risk, reduce costs, and increase revenue. The firm is
    headquartered in Exton, PA; its European subsidiary, Automated
    Financial Systems GmbH is located in Vienna, Austria. For further
    information, visit AFS' website at www.afsvision.com.