European Distressed Debt Market Outlook for 2007 Foresees Upswing In Restructurings



    Launched this week by international law firm Cadwalader,
    Wickersham & Taft LLP and investment banking group Rothschild, in
    conjunction with Mergermarket's Debtwire, the third annual European
    Distressed Debt Market Outlook provides a comprehensive and in-depth
    report of the opinions and expectations of European and U.S. investors
    regarding the outlook for the European distressed debt market in the
    year ahead. For the first time, the 2007 report also features sections
    on private equity sponsors and corporates who have been through a
    restructuring in the last two years.

    Among the noteworthy findings are: a resounding 83% of private
    equity sponsors expect to play an active role in a restructuring in
    2007, while 60% of private equity investors expect between 11% and 20%
    of the 'typical' portfolio to be hit by covenant amendments or debt
    restructurings.

    Of particular note was the changing role of relationship banks and
    hedge funds. Respondents report that they have found relationship
    banks difficult to deal with in restructurings. Experience with hedge
    funds was more mixed, with some respondents commenting that hedge
    funds can be constructive, while others were negative. It is also
    telling that companies' highlighted the importance of maintaining
    support from other stakeholders, such as customers, suppliers,
    employees and pension scheme trustees, to ensure a successful
    restructuring.

    Additional findings of the distressed investor survey include:

    -- Almost two-fifths of respondents have increased their asset
    allocation to distressed, reflecting a considerable increase
    in confidence compared to last year.

    -- The majority of respondents expect an increase in
    restructurings to begin towards the end of 2007/early 2008,
    following an extended period of high liquidity and bankers'
    decisions to waive covenant breaches.

    -- Respondents perceive significant growth potential in
    restructuring situations from France and Italy.

    -- Hedge funds and other active investors are looking up the debt
    capital structure to second lien and mezzanine.

    Commenting on the survey, Richard Millward, Managing Director,
    Rothschild, said "The clear message from this survey is that the
    restructuring wave is yet to break, but activity is definitely
    intensifying. The impact of non-bank institutions as holders of debt
    will make the next round of restructurings more complex."

    Cadwalader Partner Richard Nevins added, "Opinions vary as to
    precisely when restructuring activity will next surge, but market
    participants agree that the volume and number of future distressed
    situations must take into account the huge increase in highly levered
    deals in recent years."

    Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP, established in 1792, is one of
    the world's leading international law firms, with offices in New York,
    London, Charlotte, Washington and Beijing. Cadwalader serves a diverse
    client base, including many of the world's top financial institutions,
    undertaking business in more than 50 countries in six continents. The
    firm offers legal expertise in antitrust, banking, business fraud,
    corporate finance, corporate governance, environmental, healthcare,
    insolvency, insurance and reinsurance, litigation, mergers and
    acquisitions, private client, private equity, real estate, regulation,
    securitisation, structured finance, and tax. More information about
    Cadwalader can be found at www.cadwalader.com.

    Rothschild is one of the world's leading independent investment
    banking groups. The Group currently has over 30 offices operating in
    20 countries, employing over 2,000 personnel worldwide. Rothschild is
    a market leader in the investment banking industry in Europe,
    particularly in the UK, France, Italy and Germany, and also in the US,
    Asia and Latin America. Rothschild's Debt Capital Markets and
    Restructuring Advisory business is the world's leading independent
    debt advisory practice, with 75 professionals across the US, Europe
    and Asia, of whom 30 are based in London with specialist banking,
    capital markets, derivative, structured finance, pensions and
    restructuring expertise. More information about Rothschild can be
    found at www.rothschild.com.

    Debtwire publishes real-time news and data for financial
    professionals in the distressed debt and leveraged finance markets
    around the world. With the largest network of dedicated event driven
    journalists based in 53 locations across Europe, North America, Latin
    America, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East & Africa, Debtwire offers the
    most comprehensive leveraged finance news service available today.
    Debtwire is part of the Mergermarket Group, a division of the
    Financial Times Group. The FT Group is a division of Pearson plc, the
    international media group. Visit www.debtwire.com.