ICF International Proposes Consideration of a New Regional Transmission Organisation to Help Prevent Future European Blackouts



    ICF International (Nasdaq:ICFI) has analysed the causes and
    effects of the Norwegian Pearl incident on 4 November 2006 that
    resulted in more than 10 million people from Germany to Spain
    experiencing a disruption in their electricity supply. In France, five
    million people were affected in the country's biggest blackout in
    nearly 30 years. Since the Italian blackout in September 2003, this
    marks the second time in just over three years that a local fault has
    cascaded across European borders. The European Commissioner for Energy
    and Transport, Andris Pielbags, has launched an inquiry that is due to
    report back in early 2007 amid calls to review the manner in which the
    supply of power is managed.

    "The underlying causes of the Norwegian Pearl incident may include
    a lack of investment in transmission infrastructure both within and
    between countries, the failure of regulatory oversight, an
    uncoordinated generation supply response, a failure to provide
    sufficient backup reserves, and the lack of transparency and pricing,"
    says Kim Keats Martinez, director of power and fuels in ICF's London
    office. "All these are symptoms of an industry structure in which the
    services required for the safe and secure delivery of power are
    managed by a patchwork of national system operators that may not
    account for competitive market principles. We believe that the
    European Commission should conduct an assessment, including a review
    of the costs and benefits, of setting up a European Regional
    Transmission Organisation (RTO). Under such an RTO, the owners of
    Europe's transmission grids could retain ownership of their grids
    while transferring management and responsibility for operations,
    markets, and supply security to a new supranational entity."

    "If it made sense to do so, this European RTO could set harmonised
    tariffs for the use of the whole network, create market mechanisms to
    manage transmission congestion, and promote the efficient use and
    expansion of generation and transmission," says Chris McCarthy, a
    transmission expert at ICF. "ICF's experience with the best practices
    in U.S. transmission markets suggests that the benefits of RTOs can be
    considerable, and must be balanced carefully against the costs. We
    have carried out such studies for a number of the RTOs in North
    America. Today more than 60 percent of U.S. demand is served by seven
    active RTOs, indicating that economies of scale are key in considering
    how to most reliably serve regional load through combinations of
    generation and transmission. A Europe-wide RTO would be larger than
    any of the U.S. RTOs, and a detailed analysis would indicate whether
    the economics of such an RTO would make sense, and whether the
    reliability benefits would help prevent future European blackouts."

    ICF International (Nasdaq: ICFI) partners with government and
    commercial clients to deliver consulting services and technology
    solutions in the energy, environment, transportation, social
    programmes, defense, and homeland security markets. The firm combines
    passion for its work with industry expertise and innovative analytics
    to produce compelling results throughout the entire program life
    cycle, from analysis and design through implementation and
    improvement. Since 1969, ICF has been serving government at all
    levels, major corporations, and multilateral institutions. More than
    1,800 employees serve these clients worldwide. ICF's Web site is
    http://www.icfi.com