Empresas y finanzas

Argentina's Fernandez to win re-election - exit poll



    By Hugh Bronstein

    BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) - Argentina's centre-left President Cristina Fernandez cruised towards re-election on Sunday, an exit poll showed, as average Argentines endorsed her policies in the face of criticism by big business.

    Helped by an economy growing at about 8 percent per year and a field of feeble opposition candidates, Fernandez was ahead with 55 percent of the vote, according to sources with access to an exit poll funded by the government.

    Socialist provincial governor Hermes Binner was running a distant second with 14 percent, according to the sources.

    Investors worry that Fernandez will read such a strong win as a call to adopt more of the policies that have riled farming and business leaders while winning over voters who like her government's generous support for the poor and elderly.

    The combative 58-year-old Fernandez may also regain the control of Congress she lost in the 2009 mid-term election.

    "I don't like Cristina's political style but thanks to her I could retire," 74-year-old Ana Rossi told Reuters as she left a polling station in a Buenos Aires suburb. "It's out of gratitude that I voted for her."

    Fernandez has nationalized private pension funds, raised soy export taxes and kept quotas on wheat and corn shipments. Growers say such measures hurt investment in farming, Argentina's top source of hard currency.

    The sharp-tongued former senator was swarmed by followers as she voted in her home province of Santa Cruz. She defended her policies as having led to solid growth at a time of global turmoil.

    "When you look at what's happening in the world, you can feel very proud to be Argentine," Fernandez, dressed in black and her hair tinted red, told reporters just after casting her ballot at a voting station set up in a local school.

    She won more than 50 percent of the vote in an August primary election that served as a giant opinion poll because all parties had already chosen their candidates.

    Surveys said she had since widened her lead. Fernandez has made a dramatic comeback from low approval ratings that had dogged much of her first term.

    To win re-election on Sunday, Fernandez needs at least 45 percent of the vote or just 40 percent with a lead of 10 percentage points over her closest rival.

    'HIM'

    Fernandez has vowed to dedicate her second term to the memory of her husband, Nestor Kirchner, who preceded her as president and whose 2010 death sparked a wave of sympathy. "Strength Cristina!" became her supporters' rallying cry.

    Kirchner is credited by many for getting Argentina's economy on its feet after a 2001/02 financial crisis. Fernandez plans to "deepen" their economic model in her second term.

    Fernandez often tears up when speaking about "him," not needing to say Kirchner's name for people to understand. She visited his grave on Saturday to help prepare an October 27 ceremony marking one year since his death.

    Fernandez's approval ratings fell to about 20 percent in 2008 when a long-running feud with farmers exploded in huge protests. Profits driven by high grains prices have since calmed growers and many rural areas voted for her in the primary.

    Twenty-four Senate seats are up for grabs on Sunday and 130 seats in the lower house. Most political analysts expect Fernandez to win back congressional control, with help from allied parties.

    Speculation has grown that if she emerges with enough clout, she may try to reform the constitution to allow her to run again in 2015. The process of changing the constitution can be started only with a two-thirds majority in Congress.

    Other South American leaders -- from Colombia to Ecuador to Venezuela -- have changed laws to allow them more time in power. Simply keeping the option open could allow Fernandez to avoid becoming a "lame duck" in her second term.

    "Keeping alive the possibility of a constitutional reform, while controversial, is a sound strategy to preserve power," said Ignacio Labaqui, a Buenos Aires-based analyst with emerging markets consultancy Medley Global Advisors.

    (Additional reporting by Jorge Otaola and Guido Nejamkis; editing by Kieran Murray and Mohammad Zargham)